Comparison of Growth in San Jose Served by 

Caltrain Metro East and BART Extension


The table below compares the amount of planned growth in San Jose that would be served by Caltrain Metro East and the proposed BART extension. This table shows that Caltrain Metro East will serve much more planned growth in San Jose than the proposed BART extension.


The growth numbers used in this table are from a City of San Jose staff memo for the Nov. 1, 2005 city council meeting, which can be found at

http://www.sanjoseca.gov/clerk/Agenda/11_01_05docs/110105_06.04.pdf (7.8M)

The relevant page from that memo is attached. Note that the staff memo incorrectly states that BART would serve north San Jose.



Areas of San Jose

Planned Household Growth

Planned Job Growth


San Jose planned growth

Household growth served by Caltrain Metro East 

Household growth served by BART 

San Jose planned growth

Job growth served by Caltrain Metro East 

Job growth served by BART

Downtown San Jose

10,000

10,000

10,000

30,000

30,000

30,000

North San Jose

32,000

32,000


83,000

83,000


Mineta SJ Intl Airport/FMC




9,000

9,000


Berryessa

3,000


3,000

2,000


2,000

Totals

45,000

42,000

13,000

124,000

122,000

32,000



In the memo referenced above, City of San Jose staff raise a concern that several areas of San Jose are planned to be served by projects in the “completion plan” (i.e. projects that would be completed later in the program pending available funding) and were therefore at risk. These projects include the Airport People Mover, DTEV, Capitol East LRT extension, and Caltrain electrification from Tamien to Gilroy.  The planned growth for those areas is as follows.



Household growth

Job growth

Santa Clara/Alum Rock Corridor

4,000


Evergreen

4,500


Edenvale

3,000

10,000

Coyote Valley

25,000

50,000

Totals

40,500

60,000


VTA now suggests that the board make decisions using higher revenue projections and that all of the projects in the expenditure plan could be completed.  However, given the uncertainties that accompany the construction of a complex, multi-billion dollar project like BART, most other projects are still at high risk of experiencing large shortfalls.  We believe that a large area of San Jose will experience under-funded and inadequate transit under the BART scenario that would otherwise be funded in the Caltrain Metro East scenario.


Prepared for VTA PAC by BayRail Alliance, 1/12/06